
As we see more and more user adoption of online videos and increasing TV viewership, I wanted to share some thoughts on possible synergies and trends in online and TV convergence. First let’s consider some facts:
1. Time-shifted TV viewing and online video viewing continued to grow in 2009 (according to Nielsen)
2. TV will become more social
3. Internet enabled devices, including Internet Enable Television sets (IETVs), will double by 2013 (according to Morgan Stanley), implying a more anytime/anywhere content consumption
4. Paid video content will make up 75% of US online video market (rest 25% will be ad supported)
5. Social ad spending approaches 50% of total online ad spend
What does this all mean for
TV programming and online content? While internet continues to evolve in technology, engagement, user preferences, etc., TV has almost been stagnant in terms of content delivery and viewership. This is where I predict that online changes will have the greatest impact on TV viewing – something that the cable companies should take note of.
TV programs, while being available online, still are best viewed on TV from user experience perspective. As a result,
paid content will be more viable and will see a larger adoption. Users will also start to “demand” more from their Video on Demand (
VOD) programming. Because users like to view movies and favorite TV shows on TV for the most part, and not on an internet enabled device. VOD will need to evolve its offerings, interface and user experience to mirror more of what users are now getting used to online. The measurement of success will then closely mirror the success metrics in an online experience. On the other hand,
ad supported programming, although a significant market in terms of dollar value, will be steady, and highly dependent on such metrics as, user demographic, click-through rates, completion rates, etc.
In either of the revenue models, common online
success metrics such as, site navigation, content programming, time spent on a page, bounce rate, click-through rate on a title/promo, return frequency, etc., will/can be applied in some form to determine the success of a set-top experience.
The functionality offered by TIVO and its integration of streaming content from Amazon, Youtube and Netflix is already pointing to the online and TV synergies. As an example, UK market, with greater adoption of such preferences and willingness of users to pay for content, only helps to corroborate this trend. Cable companies can hence, gain a significant competitive advantage by preparing for the upcoming
technological upgrades and investing in
portability of online experience to set-top.